Boxing Betting

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Floyd Mayweather Jr (-1000) vs. Logan Paul Odds (+600)

It’s going to happen – but when? Finally, we have a due date for when Floyd Mayweather will face Logan Paul on June 6th, it should be one of the busiest days on the boxing odds calendar at Bovada Sportsbook.

The fact that Mayweather is retired didn’t stop bettors from piling on the last time he graced the squared circle. That was back on December 31, 2018, when Mayweather faced kickboxer Tenshin Nasukawa at the Rizin 14 MMA event in Japan. It was a three-round exhibition boxing match, and Floyd Mayweather odds had the former champion pegged at –340 heading into the holidays, and as usual, “Money” paid out, earning a first-round TKO after sending Nasukawa to the canvas three times.

Given how non-competitive Nasukawa was in that fight, Mayweather needs something with a little more sizzle this time around. Paul is one of the biggest YouTube personalities there is, with millions of followers – many of whom will buy this pay-per-view once the date is set. But how do odds work in boxing when one of the greatest to ever lace up the gloves faces a relative novice? Here are some boxing betting tips for the potential bout.

Boxing Betting Odds: Floyd Mayweather -1000 Favorite

Mayweather (50-0, 27 KOs) has yet to disappoint his supporters. He’s beaten every fighter he’s faced since turning pro in 1996, winning 15 different major titles across five weight classes; the list of the vanquished opponents includes Arturo Gatti, Zab Judah, Oscar De La Hoya, Ricky Hatton, Juan Manuel Marquez, Shane Mosley, Miguel Cotto, Canelo Alvarez, and Manny Pacquiao. Mayweather’s 2015 decision victory over Pacquaio shattered PPV records in the United States with 4.6 million buys.

It’s been a strange road for Mayweather since “The Fight of the Century.” After an easy win over Andre Berto in 2015, Mayweather announced his retirement (for the second time), then came back in 2017 to fight MMA superstar Conor McGregor in an official sanctioned boxing match. McGregor had his moments in the early rounds, but Mayweather put him away via TKO in the 10th; this pay-per-view drew 4.3 million buys in the US, and each fighter reportedly walked away with a nine-figure payout.

That was the last official fight for Mayweather – but not the last payday. He earned another $9 million for facing Nasukawa, and his camp is looking for an even bigger wad of cash when he touches gloves with Paul. To ensure that, everyone seems content to wait until they can fill a major arena, so Mayweather can add the gate revenues to the PPV buys. Every dollar counts.

Boxing Betting Odds: Logan Paul +650 Underdog

When understanding boxing odds, it’s a given that the Youtube celebrity will be a huge underdog at Bovada. Paul only has one official boxing match under his belt, a split-decision loss to fellow YouTuber KSI in 2019 at Staples Center in Los Angeles. This was after the two met in an amateur boxing match in 2018, which ended in a majority draw. DAZN declared the rematch their fifth-most streamed event of the year, and their third-highest boxing attraction.

Inexperience aside, Paul does have some things going for him heading into this prospective bout with Mayweather. Paul is the much younger fighter, turning 26 on April 1; Mayweather just turned 44 last month. Paul is also six inches taller at 6-foot-2 with a four-inch reach advantage, and as a natural cruiserweight, he checks in at about 50 pounds heavier than the former champ.

One boxing betting tip to keep in mind in this bout, size does matter. The Nasukawa fight was a mismatch, too, but in that case, Mayweather was the bigger man – they fought at his natural welterweight of 147 pounds, a full 20 pounds heavier than Nasukawa (a natural bantamweight). And while Paul only has the one official boxing match on his record, that’s one more than Nasukawa had before facing Mayweather.

While we wait for further fight details and Mayweather vs. Paul odds, don’t forget that Paul’s brother Jake (2-0, 2 KOs), also a YouTube sensation, will be fighting former MMA champion Ben Askren (no record) on April 17 in Atlanta. This will be an eight-round professional boxing match; Paul is the –260 favorite at press time. Keep hitting that refresh button for the latest boxing lines at Bovada Sportsbook.

Tyson Fury (-175) vs. Anthony Joshua Odds (+145)

These are heady times in boxing’s heavyweight division. It’s been a while since we’ve seen two undeniable main-event talents emerge from the biggest weight class in the sport – maybe the Klitschko brothers, Wladimir and Vitali, who took turns dominating the ring until the latter joined the Ukrainian parliament in 2012. That was the problem, though: They took turns. The Klitschkos never fought against each other. Will Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua ever meet in the ring?

If they do, Fury appears to have the advantage. The WBC and lineal heavyweight champion is the –175 favorite on the boxing betting lines at Bovada Sportsbook, provided he and Joshua (who holds the other major alphabet titles) put up their dukes sometime in 2021. They’ve already signed a contract to unify the titles, but no date or venue has been confirmed at press time. Here’s an early preview of what to expect when they finally touch gloves.

Boxing Betting Odds: Tyson Fury Preview

These are easily the two best heavyweights in the world right now, but there’s a reason the Tyson Fury odds have him winning this prospective fight about two-thirds of the time. Fury (30-0-1, 21 KOs) has yet to lose as a pro; he was also the first to win a major title, ending Wladimir Klitschko’s 11-year undefeated streak in 2015. The closest Fury came to defeat was December 2018, when he miraculously rose from the canvas and nearly put away Deontay Wilder before settling for an unpopular majority draw.

Fury didn’t win that fight, but it made him a superstar. He got his revenge by dominating Wilder in their February 2020 rematch, winning by seventh-round TKO and claiming Wilder’s WBC belt in the process. Fury came in 17 pounds heavier than he did for their first bout, and used that extra power wisely, taking control from the outset and never giving it back.

This is where things get a little messy. Wilder triggered the rematch clause in his contract, and the third installment in their trilogy was supposed to happen last July – but the coronavirus pandemic had other ideas. So Fury pulled out and signed a two-fight deal with Joshua’s camp. In theory, Wilder (42-1-1, 41 KOs) is still in the title picture, but his star has faded significantly since his last encounter with Fury. Boxing fans are ready for something different.

Boxing Betting Odds: Anthony Joshua Preview

Having that one loss on his record isn’t the problem for Wilder – it’s how he lost. Joshua (24-1, 22 KOs) saw his own undefeated streak end in June 2019 at the hands of Andy Ruiz Jr., who scored a seventh-round TKO at Madison Square Garden; however, it was an unusual fight in many respects, and Joshua made up for it six months later by punishing Ruiz in their rematch, earning a clear unanimous decision and taking his belts back.

Before that loss to Ruiz, Joshua was the hottest commodity in the heavyweight division. The Olympic super-heavyweight gold medalist at the 2012 London Games (just a stone’s throw from his hometown of Watford), Joshua won his first major title in 2016, five months after Fury did the same, and his box office went supernova the following year when he defeated Wladimir Klitschko via 11th-round TKO in front of 90,000 fans at Wembley Stadium. It was the Fight of the Year according to Ring Magazine. ESPN called it the biggest heavyweight bout since Lennox Lewis vs. Mike Tyson in 2002.

Joshua’s victory was notable for several other reasons. One, it was Klitschko’s last fight; he retired shortly thereafter. Two, Joshua vs. Klitschko drew more viewers than Klitschko vs. Fury. And three, Joshua called out Fury during his post-match interview. “Tyson Fury, where you at, baby? Come on – that’s what they want to see.”

We’re still waiting. Joshua has fought a lesser slate of mandatory challengers and fill-ins since the win over Klitschko (Ruiz was a late replacement for Jarrell Miller, who failed a drug test). But at least he’s been fighting. Fury, the pride of Manchester, has spent the past 14 months making the media rounds while his camp figures out who his next opponent will be. Maybe the Anthony Joshua odds aren’t giving him enough credit for staying active. With any luck, we’ll see these two behemoths settle things at some point this year. In the meantime, keep checking in with Bovada Sportsbook for the latest boxing odds and analysis.

*Odds as of June 4, 2021

BET ON BOXING

 

How to Bet on Boxing

It’s a good thing if you know all about the matchups and boxers, but it’s impossible to know how to bet on a boxing match if you don’t understand the betting half of the equation. Here’s a quick look at the different boxing odds you’ll find when you browse the lines at Bovada Sportsbook.

Boxing Moneyline Odds

This is the gold standard for boxing betting. Each of the two fighters will have a moneyline attached to their name; bet on which one will win, and if you’re right, you’ll be paid out once the fight is over and the result is made official. As an example, here’s the famous “Fight of the Century” between Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Manny Pacquiao on May 2, 2015:

  • Manny Pacquiao  +170
  • Floyd Mayweather Jr.  -210

Mayweather was the favorite in this welterweight bout at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, as indicated by the negative sign using the American odds format. A winning bet on Mayweather would have paid out $100 for every $210 wagered – or $10 for every $21, or any other multiple. Pacquiao, the underdog, would have paid out $170 for every $100 wagered had he won; in the end, Mayweather remained undefeated after a fairly convincing unanimous decision. Note that all bets on a fighter to win will be refunded if the result is a draw or a no contest.

Boxing Total Odds

Totals are used in boxing much like other sports. In this case, you’re asked whether a fight will go Over or Under a given number of rounds. Each half-round lasts 90 seconds; for the Over to cash in on a total of, say, 8.5 rounds, the fight must reach the 91st second of Round 9. Here’s a hypothetical example (totals weren’t available at the close) for the April 29, 2017 heavyweight bout between Wladimir Klitschko and Anthony Joshua:

  • Wladimir Klitschko  0 8.5 (-115)
  • Anthony Joshua  U 8.5 (-115)

The names of the fighters are irrelevant; what matters is that the line for the Over is quoted on the top, and the Under on the bottom. The total here is 8.5 rounds, and the numbers in parentheses refer to the payouts charged for each bet, which for this fight is –115 on both sides. That means you’re betting $115 to win $100. Joshua won by TKO in the 11th round, so the Over was the right call this time.

Boxing Method of Victory Odds

Boxing lends itself to a wide variety of proposition bets (or “prop bets” for short), where you wager on something other than the outcome of the match itself. The most popular prop bet in boxing is usually the Method of Victory, where you bet on how the match will end: decision, KO/TKO/DQ, or draw.

Boxing Fight Length Odds

Another popular boxing prop asks you to bet on exactly how many rounds the fight will last. Odds will be posted for one round, two rounds, and so on, all the way up to however many rounds are scheduled (usually 10 or 12). Fight Length odds for either boxer winning (e.g. Golovkin in the 12th) might also be posted if it’s a big enough event and the demand is there. Rules for what constitutes a full round or a half-round are the same as they are for totals.

Boxing Betting Tips

While betting on most team sports can be approached analytically using advanced statistics, individual sports like boxing are as much art as science. The superior boxer usually wins in this sport – luck isn’t much of a factor inside the squared circle. When two equally matched fighters face each other, the “clash of styles” often determines the winner; a patient, defensive fighter with stamina should have the advantage over an aggressive but less mobile opponent.

To learn more about how to bet on boxing, check out the FAQ and Help guides at Bovada Sportsbook, and make sure to refresh your browser for the latest updated odds and analysis on all the big fights on the boxing calendar.

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