March Madness Betting Odds

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March Madness Odds Tracker 

No matter how well the Villanova Wildcats do, people can’t seem to get behind them. A little over six months ago, Villanova won their second National Championship in three years, dusting off the Michigan Wolverines 79-62 as 7-point favorites. But you won’t find the ‘Cats among the top contenders on this year’s March Madness odds board. They’re +1200 third-tier contenders at press time, and sixth overall in Division I.

 

March Madness Betting Preview: The Early Favorites

Villanova were +850 to defend their crown shortly after cutting down the nets at the Alamodome, but it looks like a rebuilding year for head coach Jay Wright. He has to replace Mikal Bridges, Donte DiVincenzo, Jalen Brunson and Omari Spellman, all of whom were snapped up in the 2018 NBA Draft – that’s Wright’s top four per-game scorers from last season. Maybe it’s time for someone else to take the throne.

There’s a very good chance that someone will be one of the following top favorites on this year’s March Madness Vegas odds. The leading contender is a team that always seems to be in the title hunt, even after 38 years under the same coach.

 

1. Duke Blue Devils: +450 Odds to Win March Madness

The Blue Devils (29-8 SU, 22-13 ATS last year) also have some holes to fill after their latest bumper crop of one-and-done players – Marvin Bagley III, Gary Trent Jr. and Wendell Carter Jr. – all turned pro. However, Mike Krzyzewski is a magician when it comes to recruiting, and he’s got three of the top five prospects from the Class of 2018: RJ Barrett (No. 1 overall), Cam Reddish (No. 2) and Zion Williamson (No. 5). Barrett, a swingman from suburban Toronto, got a head start this offseason by playing for the Canadian national team alongside Kelly Olynyk and Cory Joseph, among other NBA notables.

 

2. Kentucky Wildcats: +500 Odds to Win March Madness

As talented as Duke’s freshmen are, there’s no escaping the gravitational pull of John Calipari’s Wildcats (26-11 SU, 19-18 ATS). Their March Madness betting odds steamed from +850 to +500 over the summer. Calipari has assembled the No. 2-ranked recruiting class for 2018, featuring a five-star foursome of EJ Montgomery, Ashton Hagans, Keldon Johnson and Immanuel Quickley. Kentucky will also welcome graduate transfer Reid Travis from Stanford. If only Calipari had managed to convince Kevin Knox (now with the New York Knicks) to stay in Lexington, they might be the March Madness favorites over Duke.

 

3. Kansas Jayhawks: +750 Odds to Win March Madness

The Jayhawks (31-8 SU, 20-17-1 ATS) have seen their odds to win March Madness improve from +850 six months ago, and they’re in much the same situation as Kentucky. They have tons of talent in the nation’s No. 5-ranked recruiting class, especially with guards Quentin Grimes and Devon Dotson filling out the backcourt in Lawrence, and they have a key transfer in former Memphis swingman KJ Lawson. But losing Malik Newman and Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk to graduation could prevent Kansas from being all that they can be in 2018-19.

 

4. Gonzaga Bulldogs: +800 Odds to Win March Madness

It’s been a long time since the Bulldogs (32-5 SU, 15-18-1 ATS) could be considered a “Cinderella” team. They’re back in the title mix this year under head coach Mark Few, who always seems to make the best use of his limited resources. Adding transfers Brandon Clarke from San Jose State and Geno Crandall from North Dakota should boost Gonzaga’s offensive profile, and playing in the weaker West Coast Conference should give Few plenty of time to turn his charges into a serious March Madness betting commodity. But can they improve on last year’s Sweet 16 finish?

 

4. Nevada Wolf Pack: +800 Odds to Win March Madness

Here’s a team we haven’t seen among the top contenders in a while – 11 years, to be precise. But after back-to-back invitations to the Big Dance, and a trip to the Sweet 16 last March, head coach Eric Musselman has his sights set on bigger things for the Wolf Pack (29-8 SU, 18-15-3 ATS) entering his fourth season in Reno. Jordan Brown is a five-star recruit and a McDonald’s All-American at center. Old Dominion transfer Trey Porter gives Musselman another quality big man. But this team is all about offense with twin brothers Caleb and Cody Martin leading the way on the perimeter. Another dominant year in the Mountain West should keep Nevada pointed in the right direction come springtime.

 

Bet on College Basketball

 

How to Bet on March Madness

Betting on March Madness is big business. It’s a feeding frenzy when the first NCAA Championship odds hit the board. Betting handle on basketball hit new records in Nevada last March, with a massive total of $430 million in wagers – almost twice as much as 10 years ago. That’s a drop in the bucket compared to what’s happening online. Want to get in on the action? Here’s a look at what you can expect for this year’s tournament, and how you can get the most value out of the college basketball betting lines.

 

March Madness Spread Betting

The most popular form of March Madness betting is the point spread. Before every game, a list of NCAA Tournament lines will be posted, with a spread attached. One team will be considered the favorite; to cash in, they’ll have to win by a certain number of points (known as the point spread). For the underdog to cash in, they’ll have to either win the game or lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, North Carolina was a 1.5-point favorite at last year’s National Championship Game, meaning they had to win by at least 2 points to cover – which they did.

Usually, one team or the other will win a basketball game against the spread (ATS), but not always. If the spread for a game is a “flat” number, i.e. a whole number, and the favorite wins by exactly that number of points, it’s called a push, and all monies wagered are returned to the bettors.

There’s an extra feature with point spread betting called buying points, where you have the option of moving the spread a half-point in either direction. You can only make this move onto a flat number; at last year’s final, you could have taken Gonzaga at +2 instead of +1.5, or North Carolina at –1 instead of –1.5. Buying points will help you turn some losses into pushes.

 

March Madness Betting the Moneyline

The moneyline is the old-school way of expressing the March Madness odds. Instead of betting against the spread, you simply bet on one team to win the game straight-up (SU). The Tar Heels were –125 favorites on the moneyline against Gonzaga, meaning you would have to bet $125 to win $100 (smaller and larger bets are allowed). The Bulldogs were +105 underdogs, and would have paid out $105 for every $100 wagered if they had won the championship. If you like an underdog to pull off the upset and beat the favorite SU, you’ll make more money by placing a moneyline bet, provided your team comes through for you.

 

March Madness Over Under Betting

Also known as the total, the over/under continues to grow in popularity on the March Madness lines. All you need to do here is bet on whether the combined final score of the game will go over or under the posted total. The over/under for last year’s title game was 155 points, so the Under was the winning bet. If North Carolina and Gonzaga had combined for exactly 155 points, it would have been a push – all monies returned, just like in spread betting.

 

March Madness Futures Betting

Don’t want to wait until the tournament to start betting? You can pick a winner right now. Odds to win NCAA Championship glory are available year-round in the futures section of Bovada Sportsbook. A futures bet is a bet on the winner of a major event placed before the event comes. At press time, the Michigan State Spartans and Villanova Wildcats are tied as +500 co-favorites to win the championship. Futures odds will be available all the way up until the tournament boils down to the last two teams.

 

March Madness Prop Bets

Proposition bets, or prop bets for short, ask you to wager on something aside from the outcome of a specific game. These bets usually fall into two categories: team props, and player props. A team prop could be as simple as how far the Spartans will advance in the Tournament, while player props will ask you to wager on a specific individual performance, like how many points Michigan State guard Miles Bridges will score in a particular game. March Madness prop betting has become increasingly popular over the years, and you can expect to find more and more props on the NCAAB odds board as the tournament gets closer to the National Championship Game.

 

March Madness Parlay Betting

If you plan on making multiple straight bets (spread, moneyline or total) on the college basketball betting lines, you can increase your potential payout by combining up to 12 of those lines in a single bet known as a parlay. Your payout will rise exponentially if you get all your picks right – you can win over 2,300 times your original bet with a 12-team parlay. But you have to get every pick correct for your parlay to pay out. It’s all about managing risk versus reward; many bettors will stick to 2-team parlays, often combining the spread and total from the same game. Teams, in this case, refers to the Over or Under as well as the teams on the basketball court.

 

March Madness Teaser Betting

A teaser is a special kind of parlay that lets you move every single line by a certain number of points. When you’re dealing with NCAA Tournament lines, you can tease by 4, 4.5, 5, or 6 points. The more points you tease by, the smaller the payout gets; in return, you have a greater likelihood of winning. For example, if you had a 2-team teaser for last year’s Championship Game with Gonzaga at +6.5 instead of +1.5, and Under 160 instead of 155, you would have been paid out at –120. The maximum number of teams you can put in a teaser is 10, down from 12 for a standard parlay.

In addition to these teasers, there are special sweetheart teasers where you can move the lines by 10 points, or even 13 points. Added restrictions apply here; a 10-point sweetheart teaser must contain a minimum of three teams, while a 13-point sweetheart teaser requires at least four teams. Once again, the payouts get smaller the more points you tease by.

 

March Madness Live Betting

All the betting options we’ve mentioned thus far have to be made before the game in question starts, but you can also take advantage of the March Madness odds while a game is in progress. You can bet live on March Madness by clicking the LIVE MODE button at the top right of the odds page for the game you want to bet on; a separate window will appear, showing you the running point spread, moneyline and total. These lines will be updated throughout the game as play continues. Other prop bets may be available as well, like what the next point will be (a free throw, a 2-pointer or a 3-pointer), or whether a certain player will make his next shot.

 

March Madness Betting Tips

It takes a certain amount of cunning and strategy to beat the March Madness lines and make yourself a little money during the Tournament, but you don’t have to be a rocket scientist – you only have to do better than the average person. And at this time of year, there are countless recreational bettors who just want to put a few dollars on their favorite teams, without putting too much effort into strategy. There will be more of these bettors as you get deeper into the tournament and the games get more important; the Elite Eight odds will be easier to beat than the Sweet 16 odds, and the Final Four odds will be softer still.

The most important thing to remember with March Madness betting is that it’s not you against the sportsbook. Your competition is the other bettors in the marketplace; if they put too much money on one team, the book will move the odds in order to get more bets on the other team, hoping to balance the action and make it easier to pay the winners, no matter what the final score is. As a general rule, recreational bettors tend to overvalue favorites, so the betting value is often with the underdogs.

There are a number of ways you can take advantage of these tendencies. If you’re thinking about making a bet on the March Madness futures market, your best value won’t be with the teams at the top like Michigan State; look further down the NCAAB championship odds list for a quality team with a little less brand-name recognition – maybe even a team like Gonzaga, who almost won the championship last year.

Once the tournament rolls around, you can usually find some betting value in the same games that smart basketball fans circle as “upset specials” on their March Madness brackets. These are usually games between the 4-seeds and the 13-seeds, 5 vs. 12, and 6 vs. 11. The teams with the higher-numbered seeds are usually the champions of smaller conferences that don’t get a lot of publicity, while the lower-numbered seeds are often “at-large” teams from the big-name conferences like the ACC and the Big Ten. Those at-large teams aren’t necessarily that good, and they may lack motivation at the Big Dance if they had bigger expectations for themselves coming into the new season.

That covers everything you need to get started with betting on the NCAA Tournament. You now know about the structure of the Tournament itself, the different ways you can bet on March Madness, and the betting fundamentals that will help you with your March Madness picks. For more information, make sure to consult the ever-growing treasure trove of college basketball articles and analysis here at Bovada, and best of luck on the hardcourt this year.

 

*Odds as of October 12, 2018