NCAAF Bowl Season Betting

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College Football Bowl Season Odds Breakdown

There are 130 teams in the Football Bowl Subdivision: the Alabama Crimson Tide, and everyone else. The defending champions are heavy favorites to retain their crown, especially after they demolished the LSU Tigers (+14 at home) 29-0 in Week 10. The Tigers were No. 3 in the polls before getting de-fanged by ‘Bama. Now they’re No. 9, and barely clinging to life as +100000 long shots on the college football odds board heading into Week 11.

Alabama’s not the only undefeated team out there. Three other teams have put together perfect records thus far – although that includes the No. 11 Central Florida Knights (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS), who once again find themselves on the outside looking in at +15000 college football playoff odds. That’s what happens when you play in the American Athletic Conference. It’s a big step down from the “Power 5” to the AAC; unless the Knights start booking non-conference games against teams like Alabama, their bowl season odds will be remote at best.

 

College Football Playoff Odds: The Favorites

The other two unbeaten teams have a much better shot of winning it all – and one team in particular looks like a very serious threat to take Alabama’s title. Here are the top five favorites (including ties) on the NCAA football odds list at press time:

 

1. Alabama Crimson Tide: –265 College Football Bowl Odds

The Crimson Tide (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) have rocketed from –135 to –265 over the past four weeks, fueled by their amazing starting quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa. They’ve already clinched a berth in this year’s SEC Championship Game, which will take place December 1 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

 

2. Clemson Tigers: +500 College Football Bowl Odds

According to some of the advanced metrics out there, the Clemson Tigers (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS) have the best shot at dethroning the Tide. Alabama have the superior offense with Tagovailoa at the helm, but Clemson appear to have the better defense, and their special teams are outplaying the Tide. The Tigers have met ‘Bama in each of the last three playoffs, going 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS with one National Championship win at the end of the 2016 campaign.

 

3. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: +550 College Football Bowl Odds

The Fighting Irish (9-0 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) are the remaining undefeated team in the FBS, and their chances of making it to the CFP are much closer to Clemson’s than Central Florida’s. However, Notre Dame’s resume is still somewhat lacking as an independent team. A single loss over their remaining three games should be enough to keep them out of the top four when all is said and done.

 

4. Michigan Wolverines: +650 College Football Bowl Odds

There’s been a lot of talk recently about the fight for that No. 4 spot in the CFP rankings. For now, the Wolverines (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) appear to have the upper hand, after winning four straight games straight up and against the spread. But they’ve got a very tough matchup waiting for them at the end of the regular season, and it’s at The Horseshoe against the next team on our list.

 

5. Ohio State Buckeyes: +2000 College Football Bowl Odds

This hasn’t been the best of times for Ohio State (8-1 SU, 3-6 ATS). Their CFP chances took a big hit in Week 8 when they lost 49-20 to the Purdue Boilermakers (+13 at home). And head coach Urban Meyer recently told reporters about the struggles he’s been having with a brain cyst that could threaten his life, let alone his career. But Meyer and the Buckeyes can still make the playoffs if they run the table from here.

 

5. Georgia Bulldogs: +2000 College Football Bowl Odds

Last year’s National Championship finalists have fallen from +750 after losing to LSU in Week 7. Not to worry: The Bulldogs (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) have already punched their tickets for the SEC title game, which will be a de facto home game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. And Georgia’s advanced stats look very good – only Alabama and Clemson have been better this year. If their fate hinges on making a field goal, the Bulldogs have one of the best in the business in PK Rodrigo Blankenship, who’s 15-of-17 on field goals and 40-of-40 on extra points. Even the Tide don’t have a weapon like that.

 


*Odds as of November 11, 2018