Super Bowl Betting

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Super Bowl LV Preview

The NFL is a coach’s league. We saw that in spades during the Conference Championships, where both Matt LaFleur (Green Bay Packers) and Sean McDermott (Buffalo Bills) decided to kick field goals at crucial moments, rather than go for much-needed touchdowns while behind. This was an especially curious choice by LaFleur; his late-game risk aversion helped the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win 31-26 as 3.5-point road dogs on the NFL odds board at Bovada Sportsbook. McDermott’s decision came at the end of the first half and was rendered moot as the Kansas City Chiefs (–3 at home) rolled to a 38-24 victory.

It’s fitting then, that Super Bowl LV will see two of the best coaches in the game match wits at Raymond James Stadium. Andy Reid and the defending champions from Kansas City opened as 3.5-point favorites over Bruce Arians and the Buccaneers, who will become the first team in league history to host the big game on Sunday, February 7 (6:30 PM ET, CBS). Here’s a closer look at what you’ll find on the NFL betting lines at Bovada.

NFL Odds to Win the Super Bowl

  • Spread: Kansas City –3
  • Moneyline: Kansas City –165
  • Total: 56 (-105 Over)

There was a time when Reid’s coaching acumen was in question, especially when it came to the finer points of the game like clock management, but those days ended when the Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV. Having an elite quarterback helps; Patrick Mahomes, who earned MVP honors two years ago in his first full season, is arguably the best player in the league today. The Reid-Mahomes regime led Kansas City to the No. 1 seed in the AFC this year at 14-2 SU, although high expectations following their Super Bowl win left them in the red at 7-9 ATS.

Arians, the two-time Coach of the Year and a two-time Super Bowl winner as offensive coordinator with the Pittsburgh Steelers, also has a pretty good quarterback to work with. Tom Brady (three-time MVP, six Super Bowl rings) will play in the Big Game for the 10th time in his illustrious career, after leaving the New England Patriots behind and leading the Buccaneers to an NFC Wild Card at 11-5 SU and 9-7 ATS. His bounce-back 2020 campaign is a big reason why Tampa Bay were able to beat the NFL Vegas odds and make it all the way to Super Bowl LV.

They say defense wins championships, though, and this is where things get really interesting. On paper, the Bucs have the better defense of the two teams in question – this was their strength before Brady’s arrival, and they’ve more than held up their end of the bargain for coordinator Todd Bowles. However, the Chiefs have a Weapon X in coordinator Steve Spagnuolo; he was with the New York Giants 13 years ago when they neutralized Brady and the Patriots – the highest scoring offense the league had ever seen – and crushed the Super Bowl odds, winning 17-14 as 12-point underdogs.

Unfortunately for Spagnuolo, he might have less talent to work with after last week’s AFC title victory. Safeties L’Jarius Sneed and Armani Watts both suffered concussions and are considered questionable for Super Bowl LV, as is linebacker Willie Gay (high-ankle sprain), who hasn’t played since Week 17. And on the other side of the ball, two-time Pro Bowl LT Eric Fisher is definitely out for the Big Game after tearing his Achilles last Sunday. Losing a key player at such an important position won’t help Kansas City beat the NFL odds come February 7.

Tampa Bay has two safeties of their own in Jordan Whitehead and Antoine Winfield Jr. who are listed as questionable for Super Bowl LV, but they’re the healthier of the two teams heading into this matchup. If there’s an area of concern for the Bucs, it’s on special teams, where they’ve gotten below-average results from punter Bradley Pinion and from the return game. Chiefs punter Tommy Townsend hasn’t been great, either, but returners Mecole Hardman (kicks) and Byron Pringle (punts) have each found the end zone this year.

At press time, the very long-range forecast for Tampa calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-60s at kick-off, so for now, it doesn’t look like the weather will have much impact on the NFL lines. Keep checking in with Bovada for the latest Super Bowl LV odds, including what should be a long and entertaining list of Super Bowl props, and get ready for the biggest Big Game in quite a while.

*Odds as of February 7th, 2020

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