Super Bowl Betting

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Super Bowl Odds Tracker

Every dynasty must come to an end, and it looks like the end is near for the New England Patriots. They haven’t imploded just yet, despite an offseason filled with palace intrigue, but the Patriots are no longer the No. 1 team on the Super Bowl LIII odds board. That honor goes to the Los Angeles Rams, the NFL’s only remaining undefeated team heading into Week 7.

It isn’t just the Rams trying to knock New England off their perch. Other viable contenders have stepped up, as the NFL enters something of a new era with its willingness to embrace analytics and unconventional play calling – thus reducing the advantage Patriots head coach Bill Belichick used to enjoy over his less imaginative contemporaries. Will New England’s Super Bowl betting odds be able to keep up as the season marches on?

 

1. Los Angeles Rams: +333 Super Bowl Odds

In a sense, Sean McVay has already taken over from Belichick as the NFL’s leading thinker. McVay won AP Coach of the Year honors as a rookie and now has the Rams (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) in front of the Super Bowl chase, with QB Jared Goff well on his way to yet another Pro Bowl. But it’s not all peaches and cream in La La Land. They’ve dropped the cash in three straight games since CB Aqib Talib was lost for the season with an ankle injury. The Rams have six defensive players on injured reserve and one (LB Ogbonnia Okoronkwo) on the PUP list, although Okoronkwo is now eligible to return after missing the first six games.

 

2. New England Patriots: +600 Super Bowl Odds

It’s a little early to pour dirt on New England’s grave. The Patriots (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) got off to a slow start, as they often do, but they’ve won three straight games at 2-1 ATS since picking up WR Josh Gordon from the Cleveland Browns. Between Gordon’s arrival and the return of WR Julian Edelman from his four-game PED suspension, QB Tom Brady looks more like his old self these days, and New England’s odds to win Super Bowl 53 have actually shortened from +650 to +600 as a result. Playing a soft schedule in the AFC East should keep the Pats firmly in the playoff picture.

 

3. Kansas City Chiefs: +700 Super Bowl Odds

It was still white-knuckle time for the Patriots when they hosted the Chiefs (5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS) in Week 6. Kansas City kept coming back from the dead, as Pat Mahomes twice led his team back from fourth-quarter deficits, only to see New England kick a last-second field goal to win 43-40 as 3.5-point home favorites. Despite the loss, Kansas City’s 2019 Super Bowl odds have moved all the way from +1200 to +700; Mahomes leads the NFL with 18 TD passes, proving head coach Andy Reid correct for easing him in slowly last year rather than throwing Mahomes to the wolves.

 

4. New Orleans Saints: +800 Super Bowl Odds

The Saints (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) have become fashionable once again. They still don’t have a very good defense, but the combination of head coach Sean Payton and QB Drew Brees is as potent as ever – maybe even more so with the league’s new emphasis on protecting quarterbacks. But there’s another secret to their success: New Orleans have played the easiest schedule in the league thus far, and they’re about to run the gauntlet coming out of their bye week, with tough games coming up against the Rams and the next team on our list.

 

5. Minnesota Vikings: +1200 Super Bowl Odds

That Week 8 matchup with the Vikings (3-2-1 SU and ATS) would be even tougher if CB Mike Hughes hadn’t torn his ACL last Sunday in Minnesota’s win over the Arizona Cardinals. Hughes, their first-round pick at the 2018 NFL Draft, paid instant dividends in Week 1, scoring a pick-six to help the Vikes beat the San Francisco 49ers. Minnesota’s secondary was already on the ropes before Hughes was lost for the season – now they have to deal with one of the league’s most difficult schedules between now and the playoffs. The Vikings will have to plug those defensive holes if they want a real shot at finally winning their first Super Bowl.

 

 

*Odds as of October 19, 2018

 

 

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