Super Bowl Betting

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Super Bowl 53 Odds Tracker 

Change is nothing new for the NFL. Like clockwork, ever since the 12-team format was introduced in 1990, at least four teams that missed the playoffs the previous year have clawed their way back in. And there are four 2-0 teams ready to make the leap this year: the Miami Dolphins, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. All four have seen their Super Bowl 53 odds improve dramatically since the preseason.

There’s still a big gap between these four hopefuls and the top contenders on the Super Bowl odds board. Teams that start the year 2-0 have made the playoffs 57.1% of the time over the past 10 NFL seasons. That’s better than a coin flip, but there’s plenty of football still to be played – and a proven team like the 2-0 Los Angeles Rams is way more than 57.1% likely to reach the postseason. In fact, the Rams are now +650 co-favorites on the Super Bowl LIII odds list after starting the year at +1000. Here’s how the top five (including ties) look at press time:

 

Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots: +650 Super Bowl Odds

The Rams (2-0 SU and ATS) seem to be doing everything right under head coach Sean McVay. They have the highest point differential in the league at plus-54, after putting the boots to the Oakland Raiders (+7 at home) and the Arizona Cardinals (+13 away). The competition level will get tougher as the season wears on, but for now, LA have earned their spot at the top of the Super Bowl betting lines.

They may have lost 31-20 to the Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5 at home) in Week 2, but the defending AFC champs are holding firm at +650. The Patriots (1-1 SU and ATS) continue to shake up their receiving corps, giving WR Corey Coleman his walking papers and trading a fifth-round pick to the Cleveland Browns for WR Josh Gordon. But they might have more pressing issues on defense after safety Patrick Chung and DE Trey Flowers both suffered concussions in Jacksonville.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars and Minnesota Vikings: +900 Super Bowl Odds

The Jags (2-0 SU and ATS) can still play some defense. They haven’t been quite as dominant as the Rams, but Jacksonville put New England through the wringer last week, holding the Patriots to 302 total yards and strip-sacking QB Tom Brady to snuff out their fourth-quarter rally. Even more impressive: QB Blake Bortles and his four TD passes. Bortles is in his fifth year as a starter, and we may finally be seeing some of that much-needed veteran poise from the former No. 3-overall pick.

Ties are rare in the NFL, but we’ve already witnessed two this year; the Vikings (1-0-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) made the second one possible with a furious fourth-quarter charge against the Green Bay Packers (+2 at home), sending their NFC North battle into overtime at 29-29. Sadly for the Vikes, rookie place-kicker Daniel Carlson missed two field-goal attempts in OT, and is no longer with the club. Dan Bailey will handle the kicking duties after signing a one-year deal on Monday.

 

Philadelphia Eagles, Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs: +1200 Super Bowl Odds

TThe Eagles (1-1 SU and ATS) became the latest victims of FitzMagic in Week 2, falling 27-21 to QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Buccaneers as 3.5-point road favorites. Philly’s offense hasn’t been firing on all cylinders with QB Nick Foles at the wheel, but Carson Wentz has been medically cleared and declared the starter for Week 3 against the Indianapolis Colts, so the Eagles are still flying high on the 2019 Super Bowl odds list.

Aside from the final score and the missed field goals, the biggest storyline from last week’s Vikings-Packers game was how well QB Aaron Rodgers played. Green Bay (1-0-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) went from favorite to underdog after news came down that Rodgers would play with a large brace on his swollen left knee. He didn’t have close to full mobility at Lambeau, but Rodgers got the job done – much to the relief of Packers supporters.

The Chiefs (2-0 SU and ATS) took a bit of a gamble when they traded QB Alex Smith to Washington during the offseason. They entered the 2018 campaign as +3000 outsiders to win Super Bowl 53 after turning the controls over to Patrick Mahomes II. The gamble has paid off; Mahomes has already thrown 10 touchdown passes this year, and he looks every bit the franchise quarterback Kansas City wanted. But the Chiefs’ defense has to play better if this team wants to make a serious run at their first championship since Super Bowl IV.

 

 

*Odds as of September 20, 2018

 

 

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