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The biggest change on the Super Bowl LIII odds board has been the New Orleans Saints grabbing the top spot for themselves from the former co-favorites, the Los Angeles Rams. The separation they created between themselves and the Rams could be a little artificial, as the Rams didn’t play Thanksgiving Week. Neither did the No. 3 favorites, the Kansas City Chiefs, who also lost some ground on the Super Bowl betting lines. We’ll get a better idea of how the top three stack up after this week.

That’s it for bye weeks this year. All hands will be on deck in Week 13, and if the Saints aren’t careful, they could find themselves tumbling down the mountain. Here are the top five favorites on the Super Bowl 53 odds list at press time:

1. New Orleans Saints: +300 Super Bowl Odds

The Saints (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS) saw their Super Bowl line move from +325 to +300 after they stuffed the Atlanta Falcons 31-17 in the featured Turkey Day game, cashing in as 13.5-point home favorites. That’s eight straight wins SU and ATS, bookended by victories over their NFC South rivals. Things get a bit more difficult in Week 13; New Orleans are 8-point road favorites for Thursday’s game (8:20 PM ET, FOX) against the 6-5 Dallas Cowboys, winners of three straight games SU and ATS. That’s the smallest spread any of the top three Super Bowl favorites have to face this week. The Cowboys are a flawed team, but they do have a quality pass rush, which should come in handy against Alvin Kamara (4.7 yards per carry) and Mark Ingram (4.9 YPC).

2. Los Angeles Rams: +320 Super Bowl Odds

Although the Rams (10-1 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) are no longer co-favorites to win the Super Bowl, their odds still improved slightly from +325, even while they stayed at home and enjoyed their cranberry sauce. The only loss on their record was at the Superdome in Week 9, and now they have the softest remaining schedule in the league, starting with Sunday’s matchup (1 PM ET, FOX) against the 4-7 Detroit Lions, who are 10-point home dogs at press time after losing four of their last five games SU and ATS. Detroit picked a bad year to have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL.

3. Kansas City Chiefs: +600 Super Bowl Odds

Kansas City (9-2 SU, 8-2-1 ATS) didn’t play in Week 12, either, but their Super Bowl title odds have nonetheless slipped from +550. That’s because they lost 54-51 to the Rams in Week 11 as 3-point road dogs on Monday Night Football. However, that performance also proved that the Chiefs are at or around the same level as Los Angeles – at a relative bargain price. They’re also the biggest favorites on the Week 13 NFL odds board, laying 15.5 points on the road this Sunday (4:05 PM ET, CBS) against the 2-9 Oakland Raiders, who are tanking their way towards the No. 1 pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.

3. New England Patriots: +600 Super Bowl Odds

Just when it looked like people were forgetting about the Patriots (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS), they’ve started moving forward again, catching up with the Chiefs after checking in at +650 last week. There’s no question the 2018 Patriots aren’t as potent as years past; QB Tom Brady isn’t quite playing at a Pro-Bowl level, and he doesn’t have as much talent around him as he’s used to. And they don’t exactly have an easy game coming up this Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX) against the 6-4-1 Minnesota Vikings, who sail into Foxboro as 6-point underdogs needing a win to maintain their grip on the first NFC Wild Card.

5. Pittsburgh Steelers: +1000 Super Bowl Odds

The Steelers (7-3-1 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) are first in the AFC North, but momentum isn’t on their side after losing 24-17 to the Denver Broncos as 3.5-point road favorites. That loss, plus RB Le’Veon Bell’s decision to sit out the entire year in his contract dispute, have knocked Pittsburgh’s Super Bowl chances down a notch from +900 to +1000. And it doesn’t get any easier from here; this week’s edition of Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC) features the 8-3 Los Angeles Chargers visiting Heinz Field as 3.5-point underdogs. The Chargers are 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in their last eight games, and they’re +1400 to win Super Bowl 53. We might even see them on this list next update.



*Odds as of November 28, 2018


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