Super Bowl Betting

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NFL Odds: Super Bowl 54 Betting Favorites

Arguing over whether the New England Patriots are a true “dynasty” in sports is pretty pointless. But there’s no denying the Patriots have won six Super Bowls under head coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady; at Super Bowl LIII, they suffocated the Los Angeles Rams, winning 13-3 as 3-point favorites on the NFL odds board.

To nobody’s surprise, New England remain on top of the Super Bowl betting lines for 2019. There are many reasons why the Patriots are able to stay competitive year after year. One of those reasons: their performance at the NFL Draft. Despite having to wait until the No. 32 pick to start calling names, Belichick and the Pats had yet another strong draft last week, filling their positional needs and giving Brady at least one more shot at glory.

NFL Betting Breakdown

The other top title contenders had some success at the Draft, at least on paper, but have they done enough to close the gap between themselves and the Patriots? Maybe not just yet, according to the Super Bowl odds at press time. Here’s how the top five contenders (including ties) stack up:

1. New England Patriots: +700 NFL Odds

The Patriots were available at +650 on the Super Bowl Vegas odds earlier this year, but they took a step back when TE Rob Gronkowski announced that he was retiring. We’ll see if Gronkowski sticks to that announcement, or whether he returns closer to the end of the regular season. In the meantime, New England have a new downfield threat in Arizona State WR N’Keal Harry, their first-round selection at No. 32.

2. Kansas City Chiefs: +750 NFL Odds

After briefly moving up to +700 and joining New England as co-favorites on the Super Bowl lines, the Chiefs have slipped back to +750, possibly because they didn’t have a first-round pick this year – or possibly because WR Tyreek Hill is being investigated for domestic violence regarding the discipline of his son. Hill has been suspended from team activities and might wind up on the league’s exempt list. Kansas City hope they have Hill’s replacement in Georgia WR Mecole Hardman, their top pick this year at No. 56 overall.

3. New Orleans Saints: +900 NFL Odds

Here’s another team that didn’t have any picks in the first round. The Saints spent the last few years trading picks and moving up the draft to build a competitive team around QB Drew Brees; they were at it again last week, but this time, New Orleans only moved up to No. 48 to snag Texas A&M center Erik McCoy, arguably the best center in the draft. The Saints will presumably look for some wide receivers for Brees in free agency between now and Week 1.

4. Los Angeles Rams: +1100 NFL Odds

Trading down in the draft is considered a smart strategy for most teams, but the NFL betting market doesn’t always agree. They knocked the Rams all the way down from +800 after they punted their first-round pick to the Atlanta Falcons. But it was still a very good draft for Los Angeles. They snapped up Washington Huskies safety Taylor Rapp with their first pick at No. 61, and filled their needs on both the offensive and defensive lines in the middle rounds.

5. Chicago Bears: +1200 NFL Odds

The Bears sent this year’s first-round pick to the Oakland Raiders as part of the Khalil Mack trade, which worked out marvelously for Chicago – they won the NFC North at 12-4 SU and ATS. That left the Bears with just five picks for 2019, but they landed a potential winner in Iowa State RB David Montgomery at No. 73 overall. Montgomery fills Chicago’s most important need after they traded Jordan Howard to the Philadelphia Eagles for a sixth-round pick in 2020.

5. Cleveland Browns: +1200 NFL Odds

The Browns didn’t quite make the playoffs last year. Will they finally make the leap after 17 long seasons of frustration? The future looks bright under GM John Dorsey, provided ownership doesn’t get in the way. Cleveland sent their first-round pick to the New York Giants in the deal for WR Odell Beckham Jr., and still managed to load up at the draft with Louisiana State CB Greedy Williams (No. 46) and Brigham Young OLB Sione Takitaki (No. 80).

*Odds as of April 30, 2019

 

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