NFL Betting

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2019-2020 NFL Update

NFL players have been watching what’s happening in the NBA, and they’re paying attention. Player agency is still limited in both leagues, but more than ever, athletes are taking their fate in their own hands. Consider Antonio Brown; the seven-time Pro Bowl wide receiver asked for a trade from the Pittsburgh Steelers, landed (via hot-air balloon) with the Oakland Raiders this offseason, then demanded his release on Saturday before playing a single down with his new club.

Conveniently enough, on that very day, Brown verbally agreed to a new contract with the New England Patriots. That signing was made official Monday afternoon, and now the defending Super Bowl champions have yet another downfield weapon for QB Tom Brady to throw at, after WR Josh Gordon was reinstated by the league last month. As a result, anyone who knows how to bet online realized that New England’s Super Bowl odds have shortened with online sportsbooks.

NFL Betting Breakdown

It also helped that the Patriots put a licking on their Week 1 opponent. Here are the NFL sports betting lines for the top Super Bowl LIV favorites at press time:

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1. New England Patriots: +300 NFL Odds

You don't need hotshot, football betting tips to know Brown (assuming he makes it through the season) and Gordon (ditto) are the type of high-profile receivers who can wreak havoc during the playoffs. Gordon has already made an impact; he caught three passes for 71 yards and a touchdown during Sunday night’s Week 1 33-3 romp over the Pittsburgh Steelers (+6 away). But New England’s NFL Vegas odds may now be too short for value after moving up from +700 in reaction to the Brown saga. Sunday’s Week 2 matchup (1 PM ET, CBS) with the awful Miami Dolphins will only add to their chalk load. Don't expect to make a good moneyline bet on that one.

2. Kansas City Chiefs: +600 NFL Odds

Also moving up the NFL lines: the Chiefs, who went into Week 1 as +800 second favorites to win their first Super Bowl in 50 years. They’ve started off well, thumping the Los Angeles Chargers 40-26 on Sunday as 4-point road favorites. Unfortunately, while the Patriots were adding a wideout, Kansas City lost WR Tyreek Hill to a broken clavicle. The good news: Hill reportedly won’t need surgery, and should be back in a matter of weeks instead of months. Sammy Watkins will be their No. 1 target when they visit the Raiders this Sunday (4:05 PM ET, CBS).

3. New Orleans Saints: +900 NFL Odds

The Saints saw their Super Bowl LIV odds slip from +800 to +950 before they even touched the field. Then they moved back up to +800 after squeaking by the Houston Texans (+7 away) 30-28 on Monday night. With QB Drew Brees turning 41 in January, New Orleans needs to protect their meal ticket as much as possible; their offensive line took a hit in training camp when OT Chris Clark wrecked his knee and went on injured reserve, but Brees was sacked just once on Monday, and like last year, the Saints’ offense appears to be well-balanced between running and passing.

4. Philadelphia Eagles: +1200 NFL Odds

They won the Super Bowl two years ago – albeit with Nick Foles at quarterback – but the Eagles have been pretty quiet on the NFL betting market since then. Things are looking up; Philadelphia’s title odds have narrowed from +1400 since their 32-27 victory over Washington, despite failing to cash in as 10.5-point home favorites. QB Carson Wentz had one of those MVP-type performances with 313 yards passing and three TDs with no picks, but Philly’s defense made Washington QB Case Keenum (380 yards, three TDs, zero INTs) look even better. Sunday night’s road game (8:20 PM ET) against the Falcons will give the Eagles plenty of national exposure on both sides of the ball.

5. Los Angeles Rams: +1600 NFL Odds

Do you believe in the Super Bowl Curse? Los Angeles got the W in their 2019 season opener, beating the Panthers 30-27 as 2-point road favorites, but they also lost free safety Eric Weddle to a concussion. With their new defensive lynchpin in protocol, and the Patriots getting even more powerful with the Brown signing, the Rams have fallen all the way from +850 on the NFL futures market. We’ll get a better sense of where things stand for the reigning NFC champs this Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX) when the Saints visit the Coliseum on short rest.

*Odds as of October 8th, 2019

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