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NFL Odds: Super Bowl 53 Betting Favorites

 

With just three games left to go in the 2018 regular season, it’s looking more and more like a three-horse race. The New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams are still the top two teams on the Super Bowl odds board, and the Kansas City Chiefs aren’t far behind. Everyone else is scrambling to catch up; the unexpected results from Week 14 have opened up a significant gap between the best and the rest.

 

The three teams in question happen to be the only ones who have clinched a spot in the postseason. Not only that, both the Saints (NFC South) and Rams (NFC West) have already locked down their division titles, so they naturally have the shortest NFL betting lines heading into Week 15. The Chiefs have a little more work to do before they take the AFC West, but at least they’re guaranteed to make the playoffs. No one else in the league can make that claim just yet.

 

NFL Betting Breakdown

 

That includes the remaining two teams on our top five favorites to win Super Bowl 53. It shouldn’t be long before they punch their playoff tickets, though. Here’s how the NFL lines look at press time:

 

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1. New Orleans Saints: +300 NFL Odds

 

The Saints (11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS) are holding steady at +300, but they’ve been less than perfect of late. After dropping a 13-10 decision to Dallas (+8.5 at home) in Week 13, New Orleans came out flat in Sunday’s road game against Tampa Bay; they needed a fourth-quarter comeback to win 28-14 as 10-point favorites. The Saints are still playing for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, so they’re not going to mail in their remaining three games, but motivation is still a question mark going forward.

 

2. Los Angeles Rams: +315 NFL Odds

 

The same holds true for the Rams (11-2 SU, 5-7-1 ATS). They’re already having trouble beating the NFL Vegas odds, covering just twice since starting the season at 3-0 SU and ATS. Now they’re having trouble winning straight-up, too. Los Angeles are 3-2 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in their past five games, bookended by losses to the Saints and the No. 5 team on our list. The important thing for LA is to get healthy and stay healthy; depth is now an issue on offense with WR Cooper Kupp and RB Malcolm Brown going on injured reserve.

 

3. Kansas City Chiefs: +480 NFL Odds

 

Kansas City (11-2 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) have hit something of a wall themselves, going 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games and losing to the Rams in Week 11. They were on the verge of dropping Sunday’s game to Baltimore before a miracle comeback and a 27-24 overtime victory as 7-point home favorites. If the Chiefs don’t improve their level of play, this Thursday’s game (8:20 PM ET, FOX) against the 10-3 Los Angeles Chargers could seriously damage their Super Bowl 53 odds.

 

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4. New England Patriots: +700 NFL Odds

 

Speaking of miracles, the Patriots (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) had about a 99.9% chance of winning last Sunday’s game against Miami, but the Dolphins scored a 69-yard touchdown on the final play to win 34-33 as 9-point home dogs. The Pats will almost certainly win the AFC East anyway, but their grip on a first-round bye has weakened – and their Super Bowl odds have fallen from +600 as a result. New England will have to hold off the 9-4 Houston Texans if they want that coveted No. 2 seed in the AFC.

 

5. Chicago Bears: +900 NFL Odds

 

It’s about time. The Bears (9-4 SU and ATS) have been on top of the NFC North for most of the year, but unlike the top Super Bowl contenders, they’ve been getting it done with defense. Chicago lead the league in efficiency against both the run and the pass; acquiring LB Khalil Mack from Oakland on September 1 may have been the most important event of the season. The Bears proved their might last week by beating the Rams 15-6 as 3-point home dogs. As long as sophomore QB Mitch Trubisky can stay healthy and minimize his mistakes, Chicago will win the division and get to play at least one January game outdoors at Soldier Field.

 

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