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NFL Odds: Super Bowl 53 Betting Favorites

As the New England Patriots near the end of the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady regime, there’s a new dynasty forming in the NFL. According to the NFL betting lines, the Los Angeles Rams are about to take control. They’re the top favorites at press time to win Super Bowl 53, well ahead of the Patriots and the rest of the pack.

It was bound to happen sometime. Belichick has been one of the greatest head coaches in NFL history, and Brady one of the league’s greatest quarterbacks. But greatness has an expiry date. The Rams have the current AP Coach of the Year in Sean McVay (age 32), whose football IQ and communication skills are off the charts. And they have arguably the top quarterback in the NFL today: Jared Goff (age 24). With those building blocks in place, and all the revenue that comes from playing in Los Angeles, the Rams could rule the football world for the next decade-plus.

 

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They’re not alone in their quest for the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Each of the following top five contenders on the NFL odds board has a brilliant head coach and a Pro Bowl-quality quarterback at their disposal. There’s a very good chance we’ll see two of these teams fight it out at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on February 3 – maybe even the Rams and the Patriots.

 

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1. Los Angeles Rams: +333 NFL Odds

The Rams (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) are the last undefeated team in the league heading into Week 7, and now they’re the undisputed favorites at +333 on the Super Bowl odds, up from +650 in September. But they’re also having trouble beating the NFL Vegas odds on a game-per-game basis. Los Angeles have dropped the cash in three straight contests, exposing some weaknesses in the secondary that have to be addressed if they want to cement their status as the league’s alpha team.

 

2. New England Patriots: +600 NFL Odds

Even if they’re not the top favorites anymore, the Patriots (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) have still seen their Super Bowl 53 odds shorten from +650 to +600 over the past month. Their depleted receiving corps has been replenished with the return of Julian Edelman from his four-game PED suspension, plus the arrival of Josh Gordon in Week 4. New England have won three straight games at 2-1 ATS since acquiring the enigmatic Gordon from the Cleveland Browns – including a big Sunday Night Football performance against the next team on our list.

 

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3. Kansas City Chiefs: +700 NFL Odds

The Chiefs (5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS) may have lost 43-40 to the Pats in Week 6, but they covered as 3.5-point road dogs to stay undefeated against the spread on the NFL lines. And it was yet another jaw-dropping display from QB Pat Mahomes, who threw four more TD passes to bring his total to 18 after just six games. With Mahomes at the controls, and head coach Andy Reid’s offensive schemes ideally suited for today’s NFL, the Chiefs have shot up from +1200 to +700 on the Super Bowl betting board. Now all Kansas City need is a defense that actually works.

 

4. New Orleans Saints: +800 NFL Odds

Moving into the top five are the Saints (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS), who have also seen their brand of football become fashionable again. This might be the last chance for head coach Sean Payton and QB Drew Brees to win their second Super Bowl; Brees will be 40 years old by the time they reach Atlanta - if they can make it that far. Again, the Saints’ defense is dragging the rest of the team down – especially the pass rush – but for now, Brees is papering over those issues with his prodigious right arm.

 

5. Minnesota Vikings: +1200 NFL Odds

The Vikings (3-2-1 SU and ATS) still find themselves among the top Super Bowl contenders, but their NFL betting odds have slipped from +900 to +1200. Despite the best efforts of head coach Brad Zimmer and QB Kirk Cousins, Minnesota is third in the NFC North standings, carrying a negative point differential of minus-8 into Week 7. The Vikes’ defense is a shell of what is was last year, and it got even worse on Sunday when CB Mike Hughes tore his ACL and was written off for the season. They might not even make the playoffs if their secondary keeps falling apart.

 

 

*Odds as of October 17, 2018

 

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