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NFL Odds: 2019 NFL Draft Review

There’s a reason why the New England Patriots are still the gold standard in the NFL. Okay, several reasons. But their performance at the NFL Draft might be the most important factor behind New England’s longevity. Once again, Bill Belichick and his crew have put together a solid rookie class, trading down for value where available and selecting the kind of players who can make an immediate impact on the NFL betting lines. If only their closest competitors had the same success with their picks. The Kansas City Chiefs may have botched their draft in the wake of the Tyreek Hill scandal. The Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints fared better, but don’t appear to have closed the gap between themselves and the Patriots – certainly not when it comes to the latest Super Bowl 2020 odds at Bovada.

NFL Betting Breakdown

While New England remain the top favorites in the marketplace, there’s plenty of competition among the following top five teams (including ties) on the NFL playoff betting odds, even if not all of them did particularly well at this year’s draft. Let’s have a look at how they stack up and you can choose the best option for your betting strategy.


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1. New England Patriots: +700 NFL Odds

As expected, the Patriots used their No. 32 overall pick to replace TE Rob Gronkowski, who announced his retirement. Former Arizona State WR N’Keal Harry will be their new deep threat. But that’s not all: Belichick and the Patriots struck gold in the third round when they picked up Michigan DE Chase Winovich and Alabama RB Damien Harris. That should keep New England on top of the NFL Vegas odds for a while.

2. Kansas City Chiefs: +800 NFL Odds

The Chiefs are still No. 2 on the Super Bowl 54 odds board, but they’ve slipped another notch from +750 following the draft, where they used their first pick (at No. 56 overall) on Georgia WR Mecole Hardman. He may or may not be able to provide what Hill did for the Chiefs, but that’s not the main issue – this is about Kansas City’s many pressing needs on defense, where they’ll be switching to a 4-3 system this year under new defensive co-ordinator Steve Spagnuolo. At least they made a draft-day deal for DE Frank Clark, the former Seattle Seahawks standout.

3. New Orleans Saints: +900 NFL Odds

Holding steady at +900 to win the Super Bowl, the Saints are also –190 favorites on the NFC Divisional odds for the very soft South, so there’s not too much concern about their draft performance. Unfortunately for the Saints, they also had to replace a key player: center Max Unger, who retired unexpectedly. Good thing former Texas A&M team captain Erik McCoy fell in their laps at No. 48.

4. Los Angeles Rams: +1100 NFL Odds

The Rams traded down aggressively and did well to snap up a number of value picks, including Washington safety Taylor Rapp at No. 61 overall. But LA still saw their NFL playoff betting odds take a hit, possibly because their offensive line looks like a shell of its former self with the departures of Rodger Saffold and John Sullivan. The Rams haven’t gotten very good reviews for tackles Bobby Evans (Oklahoma, third round) or especially David Edwards (Wisconsin, fifth round).

5. Philadelphia Eagles: +1200 NFL Odds

Moving up into the top five, the Eagles also need to keep their offensive line intact if they want to protect QB Carson Wentz – Nick Foles is long gone – and get back into the Super Bowl chase. But Washington State OT Andre Dillard might be a year or two away from contributing. Wentz did get some quality help in the second round, where Philly grabbed both Penn State RB Miles Sanders and Stanford WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside.

6. Cleveland Browns: +1200 NFL Odds

It’s still amazing to see the Browns contending for the Super Bowl. They’re actually +135 favorites on the AFC Divisional odds board to win the North, and while Cleveland’s draft wasn’t remarkable by any standards, they did fill some positions of need. But will they regret sending a first-round pick to the New York Giants for WR Odell Beckham Jr.? Wideout is one of the easier positions in football to find replacements for, although Beckham is certainly a transcendent player – when healthy.

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The Underdogs

Of all the underdog teams who looked like potential Super Bowl value picks heading into the 2019 offseason, the Houston Texans and Seattle Seahawks have done the most to improve their chances of success – both teams moving up from +4000 to +2500 on the NFL futures market. However, the Texans may have missed out on some draft value while they were busy filling out their offensive line in front of QB Deshaun Watson. Alabama State OT Tytus Howard (No. 23) and Northern Illinois OT Max Scharping (No. 55) were both considered reaches on most mock draft boards.

The Seahawks, on the other hand, got positive reviews for trading down and loading up on mid-round picks to fill their needs on defense and at wide receiver – where Doug Baldwin may have played his last snap after accumulating so many injuries over the years. Ole Miss wideout DK Metcalf (No. 64) could step into Baldwin’s shoes right away and make an impact. West Virginia WR Gary Jennings Jr. (No. 120) is another potential downfield target for QB Russell Wilson, now the highest-paid player in the NFL after signing a four-year, $140-million extension. Stay tuned to Bovada Sportsbook for more NFL offseason analysis as the 2019 campaign gets closer.

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*Odds as of April 29, 2019