NFL Betting

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2020-2021 NFL Season Update

 

You can tell a lot about the NFL in two weeks. The Baltimore Ravens definitely look like Super Bowl contenders, as they should – they’re +450 co-favorites on the Super Bowl odds board at Bovada Sportsbook. And the NFC West definitely looks like this year’s Group of Death, with three teams joining Baltimore at a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS. That doesn’t even include the defending NFC champs, the San Francisco 49ers (1-1 SU and ATS), although it’ll be hard to escape this division after all those injuries they suffered in Week 2.

NFL Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Despite all of those missing players, and the other ones who left during the offseason, the Patriots have still carved out a place among the top teams on Bovada’s Super Bowl odds board – for now. Here are the top six favorites at press time:

1. Kansas City Chiefs: +600 NFL Odds

The defending champions remain the No. 1 commodity on the NFL Vegas odds, and QB Patrick Mahomes might have even more incentive to perform this year after “only” being named the No. 4 player on the NFL Network’s annual Top 100 list.

 

2. Baltimore Ravens: +650 NFL Odds

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, the league’s reigning MVP, was given the top spot on the poll – but the pressure will be off Jackson to some extent after Baltimore went to great lengths this offseason to improve their defense. Unfortunately, OT tackle Andre Smith and WR De’Anthony Thomas have both opted out for the Ravens this year.

 

3. San Francisco 49ers: +900 NFL Odds

Can you beat the NFL betting lines without a superstar quarterback? Absolutely: Jimmy Garoppolo (No. 43 on the Top 100) helped the Niners go 13-3 SU and 9-6-1 ATS last year, and they almost beat Kansas City in Super Bowl 54. Of course, it helps having a tight end as talented as George Kittle, the No. 7 player in this year’s voting.

 

4. New Orleans Saints: +1000 NFL Odds

It feels a bit strange to see New Orleans QB Drew Brees at No. 12 on the list, but that’s a sign of how well-balanced the Saints are. WR Michael Thomas is ranked fifth this year, and DE Cameron Jordan checks in at No. 23.

 

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +1000 NFL Odds

The Buccaneers hope they’ve got the balance they need after replacing QB Jameis Winston with Tom Brady, but age is definitely an issue here – Brady is two spots behind Brees at No. 14, and Tampa don’t have anyone else in the Top 25.

 

6. New England Patriots: +1200 NFL Odds

They say the NFL is a coach’s league, and Bill Belichick has a chance to prove that with QB Cam Newton (absent from this year’s Top 100, after placing No. 1 in 2016) taking over for Brady. That’s assuming Newton wins the job; Belichick says the competition is still open for Jarrett Stidham, Brian Hoyer and Brian Lewerke.

 

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NFL Odds to Win the Super Bowl

The Niners aren’t done yet. They’re still No. 5 on the NFL Vegas odds at +1600, down two spots from +900 when the 2020 season kicked off. But they’ve lost two of their best defenders (Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas) for the rest of the year, both to torn ACLs, and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is week-to-week with a high-ankle sprain. That’s a tough hill to climb.

Vaulting over San Francisco into third place on the NFL betting lines are the Seattle Seahawks at +850, fresh off their 35-30 win over the New England Patriots (+5 away) on Sunday Night Football. The New Orleans Saints are holding down fourth at +1100 despite splitting their first two games 1-1 SU and ATS. That leaves the Ravens and the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs fighting it out for first place. Unless their Week 3 Monday nighter (8:15 PM ET, ESPN) ends in a tie, one of these two teams will be the sole favorite heading into Week 4.

 

NFL Odds to Win MVP

The Chiefs may be co-favorites to win the Super Bowl, but their top star is no longer favored to take back his Most Valuable Player award – and neither is the reigning winner. Here are the top five MVP favorites (including ties) on Bovada’s NFL lines at press time:

 

1. QB Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (+240)

If you had Wilson at +850 in your preseason NFL picks, you have to be pretty happy after his five-touchdown performance against the Patriots.

 

2. QB Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (+500)

The Chiefs nearly blew it against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 2, but Mahomes was fine: 27-of-47 for 302 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. He still falls back a step from +400 after Wilson’s big night.

 

3. QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (+500)

The current MVP, meanwhile, has caught up to Mahomes after checking in at +750 before the season opener. Jackson leads the NFL at 9.8 yards per pass attempt, although his rushing is down a bit at 4.3 yards per carry.

 

4. QB Aaron Rogers, Green Bay Packers (+700)

The two-time MVP is back in the conversation after leading the Packers to a 2-0 SU and ATS start. But will Green Bay’s porous defense keep Rodgers from beating the NFL odds a third time?

 

5. QB Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals (+1200)

The NFC West is still a tough row to hoe. However, Murray has moved up another notch from +1400 after two quality dual-threat performances in two weeks.

 

*Odds as of September 30th, 2020

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