UFC Betting

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UFC 243 Betting: Robert Whittaker vs. Israel Adesanya

The UFC’s Middleweight division hasn’t been the same since Georges St-Pierre came and went. After a four-year layoff, St-Pierre returned to the Octagon at UFC 217 and defeated Michael Bisping for the title, only to vacate it a month later. Interim champion Robert Whittaker was promoted to undisputed champ on December 7, 2017; incredibly, Whittaker has yet to defend that title. He tried once, in June 2018 at UFC 225, but challenger Yorl Romero missed weight.

Finally, a new contender will get his chance. Israel Adesanya won the interim Middleweight title last April at UFC 236, beating Kelvin Gastelum by unanimous decision. Now the Nigerian-New Zealander will face Whittaker at UFC 243, live on pay-per-view from Marvel Stadium in Melbourne on Saturday, October 5 (main card at 10 PM ET). It should be a heck of a fight, too, if the UFC 243 betting lines are any indication.

UFC 243 Odds: Robert Whittaker vs. Israel Adesanya 

Whittaker (20-4 lifetime, 11-2 UFC), a native New Zealander now living and fighting out of Sydney, is without a doubt one of the better pound-for-pound fighters in mixed martial arts. But he’s only a –140 favorite on the MMA odds board at press time. It wasn’t just Romero missing weight that kept Whittaker from defending his title; he also had to pull out of two other would-be title fights because of multiple injuries, against Luke Rockhold and then against Gastelum.

While Whittaker’s medical situation has been less than ideal since he was named undisputed champion, Adesanya (17-0 lifetime, 6-0 UFC) has been busy climbing the Middleweight ladder. In February, the former boxer and kickboxer beat Anderson Silva by unanimous decision at UFC 234, also in Melbourne. Then he defeated Gastelum for the interim title two months later, stepping in for Whittaker on just a few hours notice. This could be the beginning of a new era in UFC; Adesanya is naturally much larger than Whittaker, can switch stances at will, and should have at least some of the fans in Melbourne on his side.

UFC 243 Odds: Al Iaquinta vs. Dan Hooker

More Australasian talent will be on display in the co-main event, where New Zealand’s own Dan Hooker (18-8 lifetime, 8-4 UFC) will get a crack at Iaquinta (14-5-1 lifetime, 9-4 UFC), a veteran grappler from New York who has had some high-profile fights recently. Unfortunately for Iaquinta, those fights included a loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 223 for the vacant Lightweight championship, and another loss to Donald Cerrone last May in Ottawa.

The MMA betting odds are in Hooker’s corner for this one. He’s priced at –145 in a match where he’ll be the overwhelming fan favorite, and like Adesanya, Hooker is the considerably larger man in this fight, with the ability to switch stances. “The Hangman” has won two titles on the indie circuit and another two in kickboxing; 12 of his MMA wins have ended in the first-round, six of those by KO/TKO and six by submission.

UFC 243 Odds: Luke Jumeau vs. Dhiego Lima

New Zealand will be represented by Jumeau (13-4 lifetime, 2-1 UFC) in this Welterweight bout, with the Brazilian native Lima (14-7 lifetime, 3-5 UFC) supplying the opposition. Lima’s the –205 favorite on the UFC odds board; the former Titan FC Welterweight champ, who appeared on two separate instalments of The Ultimate Fighter, stands three inches taller than Jumeau with a two-inch reach advantage – and he’s on a two-fight winning streak. Jumeau hasn’t fought since February 2018, when he defeated Daichi Abe by unanimous decision at UFC 221. However, Jumeau’s grappling prowess might allow him to sneak away with a victory here.

Other UFC 243 Odds

The main card at UFC 243 kicks off with Holly Holm (–205) taking on Raquel Pennington in the Women’s Bantamweight division. But first, there’s the early preliminary card on UFC Fight Pass, which will include a Women’s Flyweight bout between local favorite Nadia Kassem and Ji Yeon Kim (–165). And in the preliminary card on ESPN, watch for Justin Tafa and Yorgan De Castro (–135) going toe-to-toe in the Heavyweight division; this is the first UFC match for both these undefeated fighters, with Tafa representing the home country. Bovada Sportsbook will have fresh odds for all 12 scheduled bouts as the road to UFC 243 continues.

*Odds as of October 2, 2019

Bet on the UFC

How to Bet on the UFC: UFC Betting Explained

There was a time when boxing was the biggest combat sport in the world. These days, more people are betting on mixed martial arts – especially when it’s the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) putting on the show. This promotion has skyrocketed since its first pay-per-view card in 1993, back when it was no holds barred; new rules and regulations have turned the UFC into a sweet science all its own, allowing the company to spread across the globe. This UFC Betting 101 introduction will show you how to bet on MMA at Bovada Sportsbook, from basic wagers to simple strategies you can use to knock out your competition.

Betting on the UFC

The UFC holds dozens of events every year, with somewhere around a dozen fights on every card. The major events are pay-per-views, and smaller shows are aired on cable television and UFC Fight Pass; each card will feature a main event, often a title fight for one of the promotion’s 12 weight divisions, as well as a co-main event. Here are the different ways you can get in on the UFC betting action:

UFC Moneyline Betting

This has been the standard way to bet on combat sports for well over a century. UFC moneyline odds are a form of fixed-odds betting, where you choose one of the two fighters to win straight-up, no point spread attached. In North America, these odds are typically expressed using the American odds format. To better understand exactly what are UFC moneyline odds, let’s look at the famous August 2016 Welterweight rematch between Conor McGregor and Nate Diaz at UFC 202:

Diaz              +120
McGregor       –150

Unless it’s a pick’em, every fight has a favorite and an underdog. The favorite will always have a negative sign next to their MMA odds; in this matchup, McGregor was the –150 favorite, paying out $100 for every $150 wagered (smaller and larger bets are allowed). The underdog usually has a positive sign next to their odds, although that’s not always the case with two closely matched opponents. In this fight, Diaz was the +120 underdog, paying out $120 for every $100 wagered.

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UFC Parlay Betting

A parlay bet is a combination bet that lets you group together a number of individual moneyline wagers. If you get all your picks right, your payout increases exponentially, but if you get a single pick wrong, the parlay loses. You can put anywhere between two and 12 moneyline bets in your UFC parlays. The more lines you add, the higher the potential payout. So how do UFC parlay bets work? Let’s say you wanted to combine the McGregor-Diaz fight at UFC 202 with the co-main event, a Light Heavyweight bout between Anthony “Rumble” Johnson and Glover Teixeira:

Teixeira           +175
Johnson           –225

Here, Johnson was the –225 favorite, while Teixeira was the +175 underdog. If you parlayed Johnson together with McGregor, congratulations: Both favorites won their fights. Betting $50 on each of them separately would have earned you $44.44 in profit, but since you parlayed them instead, you earned $140.74. You can calculate your potential payouts by multiplying the odds for each fight in your parlay, either by hand or with an online parlay calculator. Even better, Bovada Sportsbook will do the math for you when you’re filling out your bet slip.

UFC Futures Betting

If you’ve been stumped trying to figure out just what is a UFC futures bet, we’ve got you covered. In general, the UFC odds for each card will be made available well in advance, but every once in a while, speculative odds will be published for a fight that may or may not take place in the future. This can happen when two really big-name fighters appear to be on a collision course. If there’s enough interest in their potential fight, UFC futures odds will go up on the board. You’ll find them under “UFC Futures” when you open the UFC menu at Bovada Sportsbook.

Betting on UFC futures looks exactly the same as betting on the moneyline. There will be a favorite and an underdog, and the odds for each fighter will adjust depending on how much action they draw. Once their prospective fight is made official, those odds will be taken off the UFC futures board and put on the regular market.

UFC Prop Betting

Aside from the moneyline, UFC prop bets (short for proposition bets) are the most popular way to bet on MMA’s most popular promotion. Rather than picking a straight-up winner, UFC props ask you to wager on things like method of victory (KO/TKO/DQ, submission or decision), and whether the fight will go OVER or UNDER a certain number of rounds.

Much like the Super Bowl, betting on UFC props can be both fun and profitable. The more popular the fight, the more props you’ll have at your disposal; you might be able to bet on whether a fighter will win during a specific round, or whether they’ll win by unanimous decision. Don’t forget to look for these props anytime you’re considering a bet on the UFC.

UFC Betting Tips

Think you know your way around the Octagon better than most people? If you’ve been following the sport for some time, you’ve probably developed a solid base of knowledge that can help you beat the UFC odds. But even if you’re betting on MMA for the first time, you can gain an advantage by remembering two simple rules of thumb:

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1. Styles make fights. Every UFC fighter comes from a certain MMA background. Brazilian jiu-jitsu is common, but a well-rounded practitioner will bring other martial arts to the table, be it wrestling, boxing, karate, Muay Thai, sambo, judo, or other forms. Ideally, your chosen fighter will be strong in the two basic elements of MMA: striking, and grappling. They’ll also be strong on both offense and defense. If you see a fighter who’s gifted at ground-and-pound going up against someone who isn’t skilled at defending from underneath, that’s a mismatch that you can take advantage of.

2. The bigger they are, the harder they fall. There are 12 different weight classes in the UFC: eight male, and four female. The lightest division is Women’s Strawweight (up to 115 pounds), and the heaviest is Heavyweight (male, 206-265 pounds). As a rule, the lighter divisions have more of their fights end in decision, while the heavier classes will see more knockouts. You can use this knowledge, combined with the styles and past records of each fighter, to take advantage of the UFC props. For example, a Women’s Strawweight bout will end in a decision roughly 70% of the time; put two defensive strikers in the Octagon together, and a decision becomes even more likely.

Because the UFC has become so popular, detailed biographies of most fighters are available on the internet, showing their MMA backgrounds, which belts they’ve been awarded, and the results for all their previous fights – both in MMA and other combat sports. A little research will go a long way in helping you make sharper UFC picks. In the meantime, you now have everything you need to get started betting on the UFC. For more information, check out the FAQ and Help guide at Bovada Sportsbook, and feel free to contact Customer Service if you need further assistance.

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